Welcome to this week’s OU Nightly Weekly Weather Watch!
The weather this week will start off with a bang!
On Tuesday, March 29, 2022, the main weather threats for Norman, Oklahoma, will be severe thunderstorms and fire weather conditions.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Extremely Critical Risk for wildfires in the panhandles of Texas, Oklahoma, and southwest Kansas.
The SPC is forecasting a “dangerous fire-weather outbreak” during the afternoon hours on Tuesday, March 29, 2022.
The SPC further explains that this fire risk is due to “sustained southwesterly surface winds of 30-40 mph with gusts of 45-50 mph amid 15-20 percent RH,” so any wildfires that do spark up will rapidly grow and spread.
As if wildfires aren’t enough, there is a risk of severe thunderstorms too.
For Tuesday, March 29, 2022, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk for a ginormous section of the United States, including Norman, Oklahoma.
The National Weather Service Office in Norman, Oklahoma, says that the main threats with this system will be gusty winds, golf ball-sized hail, and an isolated tornado or two.
This system will move in late tonight between 10 pm and 11 pm, so be sure to have multiple ways of receiving alerts.
Once the severe weather passes this week, the roller coaster weather will calm down and the high temperatures will dip down into the 60s for Wednesday, March 30, 2022, and Thursday, March 31, 2022.
By Friday, April 1, 2022, the temperatures will climb up close to the 70s and a few thunderstorms will pop up.
By the weekend, most of the rain will pass and temperatures will hover in the 60s.
As mentioned above by the Storm Prediction Center, there is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday, March 29, 2022.
This Slight Risk stretches from Des Moines, Iowa, to Wichita, Kansas, to Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, to Abilene, Texas.
The SPC forecasts these severe thunderstorms will move in during the late-night hours, bringing the threats of “damaging gusts, severe hail, and a few tornadoes.”
For March 30, 2022, the SPC has once again put Dixie Alley in the spotlight for severe thunderstorms.
Specifically, the SPC has issued a Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms, which is a 4 out of 5 risk, for Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, and Florida.
This round of severe weather will bring all threats of thunderstorms, including large hail, gusty winds, and tornadoes.
As mentioned above by the Storm Prediction Center, there is an Extremely Critical fire weather risk for March 29, 2022.
Once the dryline passes through the panhandles of Oklahoma, Texas, and southwestern Kansas, the “sustained southwesterly surface winds of 30-40 mph with gusts of 45-50 mph amid 15-20 percent RH” will be prime conditions for wildfires.
With those gusty winds, any wildfires that spark will rapidly spread.
These gusty winds and fire weather risks have resulted in Wind Advisories, High Wind Warnings, and Red Flag Warnings for most of the central and southeastern United States.
The wildfire risk continues into Wednesday, March 30, 2022, for southern Texas and the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
The SPC has issued a Critical Risk for southern Texas and several spots of Elevated Risks in the Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley.
According to the SPC, there will be “breezy southeasterly surface winds of 15-20 mph (gusts up to 25 mph)…[that] could result in [a] minimum afternoon [relative humidity] of 30-40 percent.”
While most of the United States is dealing with hot temperatures, the Upper and Lower Great Lakes region is under a Winter Weather Advisory and Ice Storm Warning.
This winter storm is a complex one with changing precipitation, ranging from rain to snow to sleet.
The National Weather Service Office in Green Bay, Wisconsin, forecasts around one inch of snow and sleet with one-tenth of an inch of ice as well.
Meanwhile, just across Lake Michigan, the National Weather Service Office in Gaylord, Michigan, has issued an Ice Storm Warning for “Antrim, Otsego, Crawford and Charlevoix counties.”
Meteorologists in this NWS Office forecast this system to move in the early morning on Wednesday, March 30, 2022, and expect “power outages and tree damage.”