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The Fate of Iowa is a Toss Up

Gloria Noble | OUCovers16 Editor | @glorianoble

Reagan Ledbetter | OUCovers16 Reporter| @ReaganLedbetter

While the General Election is coming quickly, the fate of the first caucus state is anyone’s guess.

Even with polling numbers available, and the tallying of early voting coming in each day: there is no way to predict what will transpire in Iowa.

Unusual across the country, but in Iowa, the votes for each ballot are not counted for the party or the candidate. Each ballot is counted for the voter’s registered party, but there is no way to conclude if a voter is voting for his or her registered party. Therefore, there is no way to see how people could be voting across their party line, and even more impossible to see how those who are not registered within a party

The Hawkeye state takes pride in its position of first caucus in the country, and continues to be a battleground for both political parties throughout the year.

“In both parties you have fairly tight races. I think it demonstrated how tight the races really are. Not only between Democrat and Republican, but establishment, and for lack of a better word non-establishment,” former Des Moines register reporter Tom Witosky.

The reasoning for it could lie in the divisiveness of the state. While Iowa is home to the longest standing governor, with Gov. Terry Branstead, the state Senate and House are control by Democrats, showing the divide between the million or so registered voters.

While Trump leads in the polls, it is unclear if the votes are reflecting the same information.

“I mean there are probably people, I am guessing between five and seven percent of the vote, if they vote on Election Day don’t know they are going to vote for even yet,” Witosky said.

“So when they walk in, is it possible that that the Republicans that will vote for Hillary Clinton. Will there be registered Democrats that will vote for Trump, yeah.”

Collected data from the Iowa Secretary of State’s office shows that Democrats have cast and requested more ballots than the Republicans in the state, but again, it is impossible to see if the registered Democrats are voting for the Democratic Presidential nominee.

The fate of Iowa will be known on Tuesday, but until then, polling numbers are not a good indicator of what is happening in the Hawkeye state.

While the state only has six electoral votes to contribute, in this election every vote will matter, leaving Iowa as a key battleground state come Tuesday.

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